Demographic catastrophe? What will happen to organisations?
Dear friends,
Namaskar.
To day there is surplus man power in indian market. But the demography is rapidly changing.
1.In another 10 years an Indian mother will have less than 1 issue in average.
2. Due to declining female babies there will be fewers mothers to deliver babies.
3.Increasing AIDS in work force group will reduce man power in the market.
4. there is increasing impotency/frgidity.
5.There is increasing suicide.
6.There is increasing heart attacks?
7. And etc.
All these factors will lead to deficiency of man power by another 10 years. What will happen to organisations in India?
Regards,
Jogeshwar.
From India, Delhi
174Dear friends,
Namaskar.
To day there is surplus man power in indian market. But the demography is rapidly changing.
1.In another 10 years an Indian mother will have less than 1 issue in average.
2. Due to declining female babies there will be fewers mothers to deliver babies.
3.Increasing AIDS in work force group will reduce man power in the market.
4. there is increasing impotency/frgidity.
5.There is increasing suicide.
6.There is increasing heart attacks?
7. And etc.
All these factors will lead to deficiency of man power by another 10 years. What will happen to organisations in India?
Regards,
Jogeshwar.
From India, Delhi
hi ...
Are these prospects so frightening ???
With the kind of unemployment we have today in India .. and i mean 'educated and graduate' unemployment ... if the manpower actually goes down a bit ... it would solve or atleast decrease a bit of out population related problems.
Of course, the issues are woth loking into and something needs to be done but not because it will create deficiency of manpower. We simply have tooo many people in India.
Another perspective is the 'QUALITY' of manpower.
I personally feel that a person having a multi-billion company should have several children to take care of the same .... (leaving aside the family disputes) whereas the manon the street in the slum should not have more than one or in fact any children for the simple reason that he CANNOT support them. He cannot educate them nor give them a healthy life.
THAT kind of Population is the concern. Decreasing that kind of population is the real issue. Asking the educated mass to have only one child and letting the uneducated / poor mass to have several (simply because you cant control them) will lead to an imbalance in the QUALITY of population in India.
If the above facts pertain strictly to the so called 'urban' quality mass ... well ... we are heading towards a Problem which needs to be looked into.
If the facts pertain to riural mass ... well ... is it a problem or a natuaral solution ??
--- I might have sounded a bit harsh and maybe used a few 'wrong' harsh words ... apologies ... buit i hope i have conveyed my LoT ...
...shoOOonya ...
From Switzerland, Geneva
Are these prospects so frightening ???
With the kind of unemployment we have today in India .. and i mean 'educated and graduate' unemployment ... if the manpower actually goes down a bit ... it would solve or atleast decrease a bit of out population related problems.
Of course, the issues are woth loking into and something needs to be done but not because it will create deficiency of manpower. We simply have tooo many people in India.
Another perspective is the 'QUALITY' of manpower.
I personally feel that a person having a multi-billion company should have several children to take care of the same .... (leaving aside the family disputes) whereas the manon the street in the slum should not have more than one or in fact any children for the simple reason that he CANNOT support them. He cannot educate them nor give them a healthy life.
THAT kind of Population is the concern. Decreasing that kind of population is the real issue. Asking the educated mass to have only one child and letting the uneducated / poor mass to have several (simply because you cant control them) will lead to an imbalance in the QUALITY of population in India.
If the above facts pertain strictly to the so called 'urban' quality mass ... well ... we are heading towards a Problem which needs to be looked into.
If the facts pertain to riural mass ... well ... is it a problem or a natuaral solution ??
--- I might have sounded a bit harsh and maybe used a few 'wrong' harsh words ... apologies ... buit i hope i have conveyed my LoT ...
...shoOOonya ...
From Switzerland, Geneva
"Tragically, the world is dividing into two parts: one where population growth is slowing as fertility falls, and one where population growth is slowing as mortality rises," said Lester R. Brown, coauthor with Gary Gardner and Brian Halweil of Beyond Malthus: Nineteen Dimensions of the Population Challenge. "That rising death rates have already reduced the projected population for 2050 by 150 million represents a failure of our political institutions unmatched since the outbreak of World War II."
Dear Sho00onya,
Namskar. Thanks for your reply. There is nothing harsh in your reply. You are most welcome.But you have argued your points very hypothetically. The issue is now concerning even United Nations as well as World Health Organisation. Imagine if an Indian mother was having
6 children in average in 1971 and in 1998 it has come down to less than 3 then it is not a bit decline. Any hypothetical solution is no solution. The problem is really frightening.
So friends, should there be some serious thoughts?
regards,
Jogeshwar
From India, Delhi
Dear Sho00onya,
Namskar. Thanks for your reply. There is nothing harsh in your reply. You are most welcome.But you have argued your points very hypothetically. The issue is now concerning even United Nations as well as World Health Organisation. Imagine if an Indian mother was having
6 children in average in 1971 and in 1998 it has come down to less than 3 then it is not a bit decline. Any hypothetical solution is no solution. The problem is really frightening.
So friends, should there be some serious thoughts?
regards,
Jogeshwar
From India, Delhi
hi ...
Well ... even if the number of children per mother is decreasing .... my question remains ... WHAT IS THE PROBLEM ??
Hasn't Population Control been on National Agenda for years ...
Dont we want an India which has significantly less population as compared to today .... Our Population is simply HUGE .... not only in terms of numbers but also in terms of DENSITY.
We are pretty high on 'Number of People per Square KM' figures . . . .
Also ... as i posted in the earlier post .... The QUALITY of population is more of a concern rather than the QUANTITY.
We should be aiming at improving Quality and reducing Quantity.
... shoOOonya ...
From Switzerland, Geneva
Well ... even if the number of children per mother is decreasing .... my question remains ... WHAT IS THE PROBLEM ??
Hasn't Population Control been on National Agenda for years ...
Dont we want an India which has significantly less population as compared to today .... Our Population is simply HUGE .... not only in terms of numbers but also in terms of DENSITY.
We are pretty high on 'Number of People per Square KM' figures . . . .
Also ... as i posted in the earlier post .... The QUALITY of population is more of a concern rather than the QUANTITY.
We should be aiming at improving Quality and reducing Quantity.
... shoOOonya ...
From Switzerland, Geneva
Dear Sho00onya,
Thanks for your prompt reply. It is true that curbing population size has been in our national agenda and the inertia continues. The demography trends can be seen at three levels-rising population size, static population size and declining population size. The first when it is over population and the third are always problems. We are likely to jump from the first to the third. Are we prepared for the problems the third type of situation will cause to us? No.
I had missed to reply your quality aspect. There will be decline of population size not because our quality of life is improving but because of the facts which I have already mentioned. These are impoverishments which we are going to incur more and more. What makes you to project that our quality of life will improve in coming 10 years?
Regards,
Jogeshwar.
From India, Delhi
Thanks for your prompt reply. It is true that curbing population size has been in our national agenda and the inertia continues. The demography trends can be seen at three levels-rising population size, static population size and declining population size. The first when it is over population and the third are always problems. We are likely to jump from the first to the third. Are we prepared for the problems the third type of situation will cause to us? No.
I had missed to reply your quality aspect. There will be decline of population size not because our quality of life is improving but because of the facts which I have already mentioned. These are impoverishments which we are going to incur more and more. What makes you to project that our quality of life will improve in coming 10 years?
Regards,
Jogeshwar.
From India, Delhi
Dear friends,
Namaskar.
This issue appears as first news on front page of last Sunday times of Times of India. The brief is like this:
Deficiency of work force by 2020
US 17 million
China 10 million and
Japan 9 million.
So far as India is concerned it has been predicted that there will be 47 million surplus work force. However, My intuitive prediction is that India too will fall in the same line.
So far as quality is concerned the news article says:
"But the experts say this huge population may prove a curse if investments in human capital are not taken up on on a rapid scale.This would entail providing education and employment opportunities, besides investing heavily on infrastructure."
Interested members may look into World Bank and International Monetary Funds reports/news in one hand and United Nations and World Health Organisation reports/news on the other.
Will you please make the discussion further lively?
Regards,
Jogeshwar.
From India, Delhi
Namaskar.
This issue appears as first news on front page of last Sunday times of Times of India. The brief is like this:
Deficiency of work force by 2020
US 17 million
China 10 million and
Japan 9 million.
So far as India is concerned it has been predicted that there will be 47 million surplus work force. However, My intuitive prediction is that India too will fall in the same line.
So far as quality is concerned the news article says:
"But the experts say this huge population may prove a curse if investments in human capital are not taken up on on a rapid scale.This would entail providing education and employment opportunities, besides investing heavily on infrastructure."
Interested members may look into World Bank and International Monetary Funds reports/news in one hand and United Nations and World Health Organisation reports/news on the other.
Will you please make the discussion further lively?
Regards,
Jogeshwar.
From India, Delhi
Dear friends,
Namaskar.
Here is the fertility level of certain states in India.
"Nine states -- Tamil Nadu, Kerala, Goa, Nagaland, Delhi, Pondicherry, Andaman and Nicobar Islands, Chandigarh and Mizoram -- have already achieved the desired Total Fertility Rate of 2.1 or less.
Eleven other states and Union Territories have achieved total fertility rate of less than 3.0, Ramadoss said."
regards,
Jogeshwar
From India, Delhi
Namaskar.
Here is the fertility level of certain states in India.
"Nine states -- Tamil Nadu, Kerala, Goa, Nagaland, Delhi, Pondicherry, Andaman and Nicobar Islands, Chandigarh and Mizoram -- have already achieved the desired Total Fertility Rate of 2.1 or less.
Eleven other states and Union Territories have achieved total fertility rate of less than 3.0, Ramadoss said."
regards,
Jogeshwar
From India, Delhi
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The Demographic Dividend
Dr William T Wilson says that India's huge population -- till now considered its biggest stumbling block to big growth -- will be its biggest strength in the future.
1. India's population is likely to surpass China's by 2030.
2. India's population will rise by almost 350 million, twice as much as the United States, Western Europe and China combined.
3. China's population currently exceeds India's by over 200 million. By 2050, India's population is likely to exceed China's by 200 million.
4. India's proportion of urban population is projected to rise from 29% currently to 41% by 2030.
Growth in the labour force
1. Growth in India's working age population will exceed its already high population growth until 2015.
2. While China's working age population declines between 2020 and 2050, India's continues to grow until 2045.
3. China's current working age population dwarfs India's by 230 million. However, by 2050, India's working age population will exceed China's by the same amount.
An unidentified Indian vendor gestures as he waits for customers with his basket full of snacks at a tourist spot in Bangalore.
Photograph: Dibyangshu Sarkar/AFP/Getty Images
Also see: The Swift is here!
< Back > < Next >
Dear friends,
Namaskar.
The above extract is from rediff.com. In the projections, I think, the concommitant demographic maladies are overlooked.
Regards,
Jogeshwar
From India, Delhi
< Back > < Next >
The Demographic Dividend
Dr William T Wilson says that India's huge population -- till now considered its biggest stumbling block to big growth -- will be its biggest strength in the future.
1. India's population is likely to surpass China's by 2030.
2. India's population will rise by almost 350 million, twice as much as the United States, Western Europe and China combined.
3. China's population currently exceeds India's by over 200 million. By 2050, India's population is likely to exceed China's by 200 million.
4. India's proportion of urban population is projected to rise from 29% currently to 41% by 2030.
Growth in the labour force
1. Growth in India's working age population will exceed its already high population growth until 2015.
2. While China's working age population declines between 2020 and 2050, India's continues to grow until 2045.
3. China's current working age population dwarfs India's by 230 million. However, by 2050, India's working age population will exceed China's by the same amount.
An unidentified Indian vendor gestures as he waits for customers with his basket full of snacks at a tourist spot in Bangalore.
Photograph: Dibyangshu Sarkar/AFP/Getty Images
Also see: The Swift is here!
< Back > < Next >
Dear friends,
Namaskar.
The above extract is from rediff.com. In the projections, I think, the concommitant demographic maladies are overlooked.
Regards,
Jogeshwar
From India, Delhi
Here is a news article in indiatimes.com today:
http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/...ow/1794318.cms
'BPO boom going bust? No way, it's as big as ever
NEW DELHI: Has success gone to their collective head? Or, are they just being complacent? On a high after bagging some of the biggest contracts in IT/ ITES outsourcing in recent times, the industry is brushing aside all predictions of the boom coming to an end. "
Success of BPO was dependent upon India's surplus manpower. Perhaps here is the sign of declining.
regards
From India, Delhi
http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/...ow/1794318.cms
'BPO boom going bust? No way, it's as big as ever
NEW DELHI: Has success gone to their collective head? Or, are they just being complacent? On a high after bagging some of the biggest contracts in IT/ ITES outsourcing in recent times, the industry is brushing aside all predictions of the boom coming to an end. "
Success of BPO was dependent upon India's surplus manpower. Perhaps here is the sign of declining.
regards
From India, Delhi
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